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This week’s Rational Roundup focuses on different ways (future and current) in which artificial intelligence (AI) may serve to improve human decision making. In addition, we have unfortunate news for anyone with a tendency to bend the truth occasionally.
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A psychologist called Philip Tetlock spent almost 20 years assessing the accuracy of long-term ‘expert’ predictions on geopolitical events. The results were disastrous. Collectively, the forecasters studied were as precise as a dart-throwing chimp.
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The Rational Roundup, as previously announced, provides our readers with regular updates on rational thinking and behavioural economics. Our latest edition addresses inconsistent decisions, disproportionate punishment, social norms and more.
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Last Monday, 17 October 2016, the Bucerius Rational Think Tank, our local sub-entity, held its Kick-Off Event at Bucerius Law School. This was the first of a series of talks intended to shed some light on different aspects of perception, decision making and communication.
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Under this headline, we will regularly provide you with updates concerning rational thinking and behavioural economics.
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From numerous researches we know that our tasks rarely become finished within the expected time period…
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We recently attended an event organised by the Association for the Protection of Intellectual Property (GRUR) about forecasting future judgments. Dr. Ulrich Hildebrandt, a partner at the law firm…
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We can hear readers say: “There are already so many think tanks – do we really need another one?” Our answer, of course, is a confident ‘yes’. entrants would be expected